{"id":1114,"date":"2022-02-15T22:21:37","date_gmt":"2022-02-15T22:21:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.z360.com\/blog\/?p=1114"},"modified":"2023-07-13T16:39:04","modified_gmt":"2023-07-13T15:39:04","slug":"i-hate-to-say-it-but-boris-was-right","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/z360.com\/blog\/?p=1114","title":{"rendered":"I hate to say it, but Boris was right"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"35\"<\/a>

The Guardian 14th February 2022<\/p><\/div>\n

Yes it turns out Boris was right to end the the pandemic restrictions, since now hardly anybody is dying from Covid. Let us not forget that the 35 deaths above\u00a0are people who have died within 28 days of their first positive test, and they did not all die from the direct effects of Covid. This manner of counting has greatly increased the number of deaths (and the level of panic). The BBC estimates<\/a> that currently, fewer than two in every three Covid-related deaths are estimated to be caused by the infection. Fewer people are currently dying than the average for the last five years.<\/p>\n

Another criticism was that he was not backed up by the scientists, who usually surround him. I presume that was because their projections had proven to be drastically wrong.\u00a0The modellers from Imperial College and SAGE (Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies), who inspired the lockdown, have appeared to get lost in their own statistics and preferred to err on the side of caution, if not plain dystopia. To quote from The Guardian<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Prof Neil Ferguson, went further and suggested that, following the \u201cfreedom day\u201d relaxation of restrictions on 19 July, the 100,000 figure was \u201calmost inevitable\u201d<\/a> and that 200,000 cases a day was possible. Cases topped out at an average of about 50,000 a day<\/a> just before \u201cfreedom day\u201d, before falling and plateauing between 25,000 and 45,000 for the next four months.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Now that at is an error of 200-300%, plainly not acceptable. (Incidentally, Professor Ferguson had to resign from SAGE for breaking lockdown restrictions.) This is just one example of the scientific modellers getting it wrong, just think of those empty Nightingale Hospitals costing 530 million. Now that the dust is settling it is worthwhile to look at overall death rates to discover the reality of the situation. From one perspective Covid in 2020-2021 has proven to be just more than twice as deadly as Flu in 2014-2015. However it is more interesting to look at the Global Excess Death Rates, since this removes the problems about how you count Covid deaths. Undoubtedly Covid has been a major and deadly pandemic, shown by the fact that most countries have suffered excess deaths (that is more than the expected average). On a fascinating chart compiled by The Economist<\/a>, the UK is roughly in the middle with 222\u00a0Excess Deaths per 1000 people, yet for Sweden, which did not have a lockdown, the figure is 126. Draw your own conclusions, here are some numbers:<\/p>\n

Excess deaths since country\u2019s first 50 covid deaths
\nLast updated on February 14th 2022<\/p>\n